*** Replication File for The Logic of Hedging in IR: The Case of the AIIB ***


** Cross-Tabulation (Table 1)
tab asiapacific seed

** Scatterplot (Figure 1)
*nonmembers
scatter centrality centrality if prospective==0, mlab(scode) msym(X)

*prospective & non-founding members
scatter centrality centrality if prospective==1 & seed==0, mlab(scode) msym(T)

*founding members
scatter centrality centrality if seed==1, mlab(scode) msym(O)


** T-test (Table 2)
ttest centrality, by(seed)
graph box centrality, by(seed)


** Main Logit Models (Table 3)
logit seed centrality, nolog or vce(r)

logit  seed centrality ratio_quotachange IdealPointDistance_China adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember,nolog or vce(r)
logit  seed centrality ratio_quotachange IdealPointDistance_China adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.adbmember if asia==0,nolog or vce(r)
logit   nonfounding centrality ratio_quotachange IdealPointDistance_China adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember,nolog or vce(r)

logit  seed centrality ratio_quotachange IdealPointDistance_USA adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember,nolog or vce(r)
logit  seed centrality ratio_quotachange IdealPointDistance_USA adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.adbmember if asia==0,nolog or vce(r)
logit   nonfounding centrality ratio_quotachange IdealPointDistance_USA adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember,nolog or vce(r)


**Substantive Effects (Figure 2) **
**** Mean: 96.57/ STD: 71.67 ****
margins, at(centrality=(24.9,96.57,168.24,239.91))
marginsplot


** Robustness/ Alternative Models **
logit  seed igo  ratio_quotachange IdealPointDistance_China adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember,nolog or vce(r)
logit  seed igo  ratio_quotachange IdealPointDistance_USA adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember,nolog or vce(r)

logit  seed centrality  quota_2014 IdealPointDistance_China adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember,nolog or vce(r)
logit  seed centrality  quota_2014 IdealPointDistance_USA adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember,nolog or vce(r)



** Appendix 1
scatter centrality centrality if prospective==0, mlab(scode) msym(X) ||scatter centrality centrality if nonfounding==1, mlab(scode) msym(T) ||scatter centrality centrality if seed==1, mlab(scode) msym(O)

** Appendix 2
reg  seed centrality ratio_quotachange  IdealPointDistance_China adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember
vif

reg  seed centrality ratio_quotachange  IdealPointDistance_USA adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember
vif

** Classification test (Models 2 and 5 of Table 3)
logit  seed centrality ratio_quotachange IdealPointDistance_China adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember,nolog or vce(r)
estat classification

logit  seed centrality ratio_quotachange IdealPointDistance_USA adj_exportus adj_export_china polity2 gdppc i.asia i.adbmember,nolog or vce(r)
estat classification